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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.1%
Willenhall Town
11.8%
Draw
8.1%
Southall

Expected Goals (xG)

3.07

Willenhall Town

vs
0.92

Southall

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
5.1%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).