Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Almeria
20.7%
Draw
22.4%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Almeria
vs
1.25
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).