Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Strasbourg
23.5%
Draw
27.7%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Strasbourg
vs
1.13
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).