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DHT: 01

17 Aug 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.0%
Ashington AFC
22.5%
Draw
36.5%
Bishop Auckland

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Ashington AFC

vs
1.58

Bishop Auckland

Markets

BTTS64.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).