Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Las Palmas
26.0%
Draw
10.7%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Las Palmas
vs
0.42
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS26.4%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.3%
2-0
16.2%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-0
2.9%
1-2
2.0%
2-2
1.5%
0-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).