Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Barnsley
30.7%
Draw
34.5%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Barnsley
vs
1.14
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).