Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Rennes
22.0%
Draw
34.4%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Rennes
vs
1.50
Lyon
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).