Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Northampton
22.7%
Draw
56.2%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Northampton
vs
1.63
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).