Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Watford
23.6%
Draw
63.1%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Watford
vs
1.96
Fulham
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).