Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.4%
York
5.7%
Draw
1.9%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
York
vs
0.60
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.594.5%
Over 2.583.6%
Over 3.567.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-0
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-1
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
3.8%
1-1
2.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).