Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Dortmund
19.3%
Draw
10.7%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Dortmund
vs
0.76
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).