Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Heidenheim
29.0%
Draw
48.0%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Heidenheim
vs
1.41
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).