Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.4%
Sampdoria
12.7%
Draw
80.9%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Sampdoria
vs
2.68
Juventus
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.3%
0-3
11.8%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
8.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
6.0%
1-4
4.9%
0-5
4.2%
0-0
3.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).