Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Bolton
25.7%
Draw
22.9%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Bolton
vs
0.87
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).