⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 01CSV

10 May 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
39.7%
FeralpiSalo
27.7%
Draw
32.7%
Ternana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

FeralpiSalo

vs
1.31

Ternana

Markets

BTTS57.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).