Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Wealdstone
24.3%
Draw
25.4%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Wealdstone
vs
1.29
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).