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DHT: 01CSV

10 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.1%
St Truiden
23.3%
Draw
24.6%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

St Truiden

vs
1.28

Waregem

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).