Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Kilmarnock
33.3%
Draw
18.8%
Inverness C
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Kilmarnock
vs
0.71
Inverness C
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.8%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.4%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).