Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.4%
Motherwell
16.3%
Draw
8.3%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Motherwell
vs
0.72
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
5-0
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).