Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Mainz
28.0%
Draw
45.2%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Mainz
vs
1.46
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).