Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Lorient
16.3%
Draw
13.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Lorient
vs
0.92
Troyes
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).