Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Sheffield Weds
27.8%
Draw
44.7%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.49
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).