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AHT: 10CSV

18 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.3%
Tamworth
25.6%
Draw
46.1%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Tamworth

vs
1.71

Solihull

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).