Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Sunderland
33.1%
Draw
37.8%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Sunderland
vs
1.16
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.2%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).