Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Bari
26.1%
Draw
57.8%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Bari
vs
1.69
Monza
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
12.0%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).