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04 Apr 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Samsunspor
30.3%
Draw
16.0%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Samsunspor

vs
0.83

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).