Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Peterboro
17.9%
Draw
13.9%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Peterboro
vs
0.80
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).