Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Girona
18.8%
Draw
66.2%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Girona
vs
2.35
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
7.6%
0-3
7.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-4
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).