Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Ipswich
23.9%
Draw
13.8%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Ipswich
vs
0.73
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).