Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Albacete
25.1%
Draw
12.0%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Albacete
vs
0.50
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.3%
2-0
15.4%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).