Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.9%
Carlton Town
7.4%
Draw
2.7%
Cleethorpes Town
Expected Goals (xG)
3.25
Carlton Town
vs
0.45
Cleethorpes Town
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
4-0
11.6%
1-0
8.2%
5-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
4-1
5.1%
1-1
3.5%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
2.4%
3-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).