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AHT: 01CSV

01 Dec 2024 · 11:30

Genoa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.1%
Udinese
25.8%
Draw
39.1%
Genoa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Udinese

vs
1.36

Genoa

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).