Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Katowice
25.7%
Draw
34.0%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Katowice
vs
1.48
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).