Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Port Vale
22.9%
Draw
51.6%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Port Vale
vs
1.61
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).