Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Fuenlabrada
30.1%
Draw
41.5%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.13
Burgos
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).