Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Stockport
27.1%
Draw
49.4%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Stockport
vs
1.27
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.6%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).