Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
AFC Wimbledon
22.9%
Draw
42.7%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.52
Reading
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).