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06 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Elgin
30.3%
Draw
43.6%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Elgin

vs
1.48

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).