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05 Apr 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.0%
İstanbul Başakşehir
26.5%
Draw
15.5%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

İstanbul Başakşehir

vs
0.97

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).