Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Hoffenheim
24.5%
Draw
20.4%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Hoffenheim
vs
1.02
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).