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AHT: 00CSV

26 Sept 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Lecco
26.0%
Draw
47.6%
FeralpiSalo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Lecco

vs
1.71

FeralpiSalo

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).