Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Newport County
24.1%
Draw
56.6%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Newport County
vs
1.59
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).