Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Kayserispor
35.0%
Draw
40.3%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Kayserispor
vs
1.28
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.4%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
10.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).