Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Extremadura UD
28.5%
Draw
31.0%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Extremadura UD
vs
1.02
Albacete
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).