Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Crotone
27.2%
Draw
48.9%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Crotone
vs
1.61
Palermo
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).