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AHT: 11CSV

06 Aug 2022 · 14:30

Mainz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.6%
Bochum
27.4%
Draw
50.0%
Mainz

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Bochum

vs
1.55

Mainz

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).