Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.3%
Venezia
15.5%
Draw
7.2%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Venezia
vs
0.72
Crotone
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
5.0%
0-0
4.2%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).