Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.7%
Wolves
20.1%
Draw
72.2%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Wolves
vs
2.13
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.1%
0-1
13.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
0-5
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).