Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Ibiza
31.5%
Draw
31.2%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Ibiza
vs
0.89
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-0
14.9%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).