Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.4%
Stranraer
32.7%
Draw
60.9%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.21
Stranraer
vs
1.16
Alloa
Markets
BTTS13.7%
Over 0.574.4%
Over 1.540.5%
Over 2.516.1%
Over 3.55.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
28.9%
0-0
25.6%
0-2
17.1%
1-1
6.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
5.0%
1-2
3.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-1
0.7%
2-0
0.6%
0-5
0.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).